8 6 1 Rank in State, Class, District |
1338 -190 Strength Momentum |
1262 63.6(7) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/24/15 | Del Norte | 0.000 | 823 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1584 | 97% | |
08/26/15 | Volcano Vista ? | 0.003 | 1454 | L 1- 4 | Expected (-2) | 1229 | 39% | |
08/29/15 | at Rio Grande ! | 0.001 | 898 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+6) | 1653 | 92% | |
09/01/15 | Albuquerque | 0.012 | 1475 | W 3- 1 | Better (+3) | 1491 | 37% | |
09/03/15 | Rio Rancho | 0.017 | 1461 | W 1- 0 | Better (+2) | 1433 | 38% | |
09/09/15 | at Cleveland | 0.039 | 1459 | W 2- 1 | Better (+3) | 1464 | 31% | |
09/12/15 | Clovis !! | 0.013 | 1246 | W 9- 0 | Expected (+8) | 1740 | 66% | |
09/18/15 | at Mayfield | 0.049 | 1123 | W 6- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1551 | 72% | |
09/19/15 | Las Cruces | 0.076 | 1155 | W 6- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1535 | 76% | |
09/22/15 | St. Pius | 0.192 | 1282 | W 2- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1394 | 61% | |
09/24/15 | at Manzano | 0.119 | 993 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1434 | 85% | |
09/29/15 | Highland | 0.052 | 830 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1587 | 96% | |
10/03/15 | Eldorado | 0.496 | 1287 | T 1- 1 | Worse (-1) | 1296 | 60% | |
10/06/15 | at Sandia | 0.567 | 1278 | W 3- 2 | Expected (+1) | 1374 | 54% | |
10/13/15 | Manzano | 0.639 | 993 | W 4- 0 | Expected (0) | 1350 | 89% | |
10/15/15 | at Highland | 0.070 | 830 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1619 | 94% | |
10/20/15 | at Eldorado | 0.604 | 1287 | W 5- 1 | Expected (+4) | 1530 | 52% | |
10/22/15 | Sandia ?? | 0.937 | 1278 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-2) | 1242 | 62% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals La Cueva actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1262, while
La Cueva's "weighted playing strength" is 1371
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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